Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 2.987306 3.534735 4.182295 5.012599 6.060239 7.353479 9.094804e+00
2024-10-20 2.245804 2.929749 3.848095 5.204821 7.218162 10.199039 1.515911e+01
2024-10-27 1.807254 2.495904 3.493292 5.103318 7.761651 12.229613 2.094346e+01
2024-11-03 1.635743 2.374620 3.519379 5.524353 9.190819 16.189484 3.236431e+01
2024-11-10 1.461267 2.205074 3.420277 5.694041 10.224050 19.891832 4.607239e+01
2024-11-17 1.343185 2.098764 3.394358 5.972915 11.552334 24.871437 6.759507e+01
2024-11-24 1.202736 1.929544 3.222784 5.923880 12.169217 28.538528 8.954576e+01
2024-12-01 1.104244 1.816808 3.130810 6.008617 13.122415 33.678087 1.241336e+02
2024-12-08 1.015913 1.708820 3.027520 6.041387 13.963878 39.084714 1.699115e+02
2024-12-15 0.963988 1.660431 3.031952 6.317335 15.574259 48.300455 2.589345e+02
2024-12-22 0.882453 1.544636 2.879473 6.182830 15.959406 53.392944 3.379794e+02
2024-12-29 0.822722 1.464329 2.789598 6.184247 16.777752 61.100047 4.717941e+02
2025-01-05 0.745593 1.350269 2.631505 6.035441 17.284567 69.260611 6.814231e+02
2025-01-12 0.700834 1.299038 2.610935 6.275467 19.403102 89.595544 1.317234e+03
2025-01-19 0.640283 1.205691 2.475240 6.147411 20.082288 103.189778 2.138403e+03
2025-01-26 0.622671 1.201843 2.551548 6.680337 23.909339 148.184749 6.269647e+03
2025-02-02 0.590405 1.160883 2.528284 6.895844 26.552861 193.160150 1.762803e+04
2025-02-09 0.567076 1.136861 2.543792 7.250884 30.282379 266.298575 8.238663e+04
2025-02-16 0.529642 1.075273 2.448975 7.188380 31.734227 320.171206 3.497775e+05
2025-02-23 0.502225 1.034187 2.403279 7.296414 34.386813 411.586131 6.257082e+06
2025-03-02 0.475215 0.990932 2.344459 7.338219 36.740199 520.051950 8.506844e+12
2025-03-09 0.459954 0.974723 2.360446 7.690813 41.787027 754.335060 NaN
2025-03-16 0.431119 0.921366 2.258780 7.518824 42.719088 888.595331 NaN